http://www.thecatalystcode.com/theconversation/blog/2009/05/27/death-spirals-how-positive-feedback-effects-work-in-reverse/ The Catalyst Code Thu, 09 Sep 2010 06:35:55 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.0.11 http://www.thecatalystcode.com/theconversation/blog/2009/05/27/death-spirals-how-positive-feedback-effects-work-in-reverse/#comment-12561 Sat, 30 May 2009 17:26:47 +0000 http://www.thecatalystcode.com/theconversation/blog/2009/05/27/death-spirals-how-positive-feedback-effects-work-in-reverse/#comment-12561 Thanks Dave. I wasn't meaning to suggest that all or even most malls will go into a death spiral. In fact I think malls have a robust business model and are here to stay for some time. Some malls though will go into a death spiral as a result of the decline in demand. I meant to use these dying malls as an illustration of the general phenomenon of positive feedback effects in reverse. Newspapers are another matter. Their fundamental problem isn't a temporary decline in demand but a permanent shift of both customer groups--advertisers and viewers--to internet-based media. Some hard copy newspapers will remain but overall this industry will be a fraction of itself in another decade. Thanks Dave. I wasn’t meaning to suggest that all or even most malls will go into a death spiral. In fact I think malls have a robust business model and are here to stay for some time. Some malls though will go into a death spiral as a result of the decline in demand. I meant to use these dying malls as an illustration of the general phenomenon of positive feedback effects in reverse. Newspapers are another matter. Their fundamental problem isn’t a temporary decline in demand but a permanent shift of both customer groups–advertisers and viewers–to internet-based media. Some hard copy newspapers will remain but overall this industry will be a fraction of itself in another decade.

]]> http://www.thecatalystcode.com/theconversation/blog/2009/05/27/death-spirals-how-positive-feedback-effects-work-in-reverse/#comment-12403 Thu, 28 May 2009 11:30:09 +0000 http://www.thecatalystcode.com/theconversation/blog/2009/05/27/death-spirals-how-positive-feedback-effects-work-in-reverse/#comment-12403 I wonder if it is too soon to call the state of malls a death spiral. After all, a similar observation was made about cinemas some time ago, but when they hit rock bottom they reinvented themselves as multiplexes as movie attendance started going back up. Perhaps some entrepreneurs will yet find ways to change malls into a newer kind of shopping experience. They've got good parking, which is a start. I wonder if it is too soon to call the state of malls a death spiral. After all, a similar observation was made about cinemas some time ago, but when they hit rock bottom they reinvented themselves as multiplexes as movie attendance started going back up. Perhaps some entrepreneurs will yet find ways to change malls into a newer kind of shopping experience. They’ve got good parking, which is a start.

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